Rail passenger transport has been particularly hard hit by the Europe-wide restrictions on contact, with demand plummeting between 40% (Sweden) and 90% (Italy, France) in April. Although SCI Verkehr sees opportunities for a rapid return of transport services to pre-crisis levels by 2021, there are also high risks associated with the adjustment of mobility behaviour at the expense of public transport or the long-term avoidance of business trips through digital meetings.

Based on the scenarios „Lockdowns return“, „Disrupted markets“ and „Rapid recovery“ , SCI Verkehr derives the effects on transport companies, vehicle owners and the rail vehicle industry.

In concrete terms, this MultiClient study includes:

• Overview of the European transport market in rail freight and passenger transport, including pre-corona forecast and 3 new scenarios up to 2025
• Detailed analysis of 5 focus markets (Germany, France, Italy, Poland, Czech Republic)
• Overview of the current development of the corona crisis with demand data and company news
• Effects of the crisis on operators, vehicle owners and industry with a brief overview of the markets and players as well as scenarios for the development of the market volume in the vehicle industry
• Analysis of fleet stocks, market shares and future demand

The study is also available for passenger rail or rail freight separately.

If you have any further questions, please contact Ms. Lea Krause, l.krause@sci.de.