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Multiple Units - Global Market Trends 2020

The global market for new multiple units is characterised by a high volume of currently almost EUR 9.8 billion and a dynamic growth perspective of 8.1% p.a. until 2024. With more than 85%, the market for electric multiple units accounts for a significant share of this growth. Driven by a high number of vehicle deliveries of regional and suburban trains in some core markets (e.g. UK, Germany, France, Australia), these countries in particular promise continued high procurement levels. Despite the corona related influences, SCI Verkehr sees growth in the overall market for regional and suburban trains in the next few years.

With the commissioning of the first larger fleet of trains powered by alternative propulsion systems, the decarbonisation in rail transport is currently gaining momentum. Based on numerous orders, a transition phase that will fundamentally transform catenary-free rail transport will be initiated in the coming years. New orders for multiple units powered by hydrogen or battery technology will catch up with orders for diesel multiple units by the middle of the decade.

Based on current developments in rail transport, the present study delivers an analysis and sound estimate of the market for diesel as well as electric multiple units that has been affected in very different ways by the current COVID-19 pandemic and is also confronted with developments such as the collapsing number of passengers in local public transport. Based on the successful preceding study from 2018 and experience gained from more than 2,300 projects in the field of railway technology, SCI Verkehr has verified the central input data.

In concrete terms, this MultiClient Study includes:

  • A regionally differentiated examination of the worldwide market for multiple units for regional and commuter transport including an in-depth analysis of the most important national markets
  • A comprehensive analysis of the current installed bases concerning operational purposes, quantities, age structure and future procurement potential
  • An overview of the most important drivers behind the procurement and refurbishment of multiple units
  • Analysis of market shares of manufacturers per region and focus country, including procurements of the last five years
  • Forecast of new procurement and after-sales volumes (in EUR) for each region up to 2024
  • Type-specific forecast of future vehicle requirements in each region, divided into four sub-segments (EMU SD, EMU DD, DMU, XMU)
  • Detailed description of important current and planned procurement projects

Optionally available with the data annex in Excel format

  • All numbers concerning fleets, deliveries and market shares are transparently and comprehensively available
  • Apply the data sets for an individual evaluation and configuration or to access and supplement available market data

Find an exemplary data annex here.

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Date: 06/08/2020

Report type: MultiClient Study*

Data format: Excel  PDF 

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* Our compact MultiClient studies provide a harmonised view and definitions of the markets, prepare data on current stocks and forecasts, document current trends and provide detailed and comprehensive information on market and industry developments.