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Overview of fleet size and projects, standardised market forecasts and key figures on player, networks & contracts

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TOP NEWS FROM THE SCI RAILDATA

Germany / DB Cargo tenders up to 400 dual-mode locomotives

German rail freight transport operator DB Cargo has issued a call for tenders for a framework agreement to supply up to 400 dual-mode locomotives. The framework agreement to supply the locomotives will run from 1st March 2020 to 31st December 2026, while DB is intending to make an initial order of up to 100 locomotives. Delivery of the first locomotive is expected within two to four years after the first call-off order. Bids will be accepted until 18th October 2019.
Source: Official Journal of the European Union 01.10.2019

Germany / DB Fernverkehr tenders up to 90 HSTs

DB Fernverkehr, the long-distance transport subsidiary of German state railway DB, has published a tender for a framework contract for the delivery of up to 90 high-speed trains (HST). The vehicles are to have a minimum top speed of 300 km/h. The order is to include spare parts. The vehicles will have a maximum length of 200 m, and must be able to operate in multiple traction with DB\'s existing class 407 ICE fleet. The volume of the framework contract is estimated at EUR 2 billion. According to DB, the order is in response to steadily increasing passenger numbers, and it is looking to increase its capacity and fleet availability. The fleet must be certified to operate in Germany, as well as the Netherlands, Belgium, France and other networks in Europe at up to 320 km/h. The vehicles are expected to enter service from December 2022. The deadline for submission of bids for the HST order is 18th October 2019.
Source: Official Journal of the European Union 26.09.2019

Austria / Regional network in Upper Austria to receive EUR 600 million

Austrian state railway ÖBB and the federal state of Upper Austria have agreed on a package of measures worth EUR 600 million for the modernisation of the regional passenger rail transport network in the state. In general, all branch railway lines on the network are to be retained and additionally modernised. Furthermore, the lines locally known as Mattigtalbahn, Innviertelbahn, Mühlkreisbahn, Donauuferbahn and Almtalbahn will be electrified. Other measures include the modernisation of 86 railway stations and other stops, as well as the removal of railway crossings in Upper Austria. This scheme had already been presented in July 2019 (see SCI RAILDATA Issue 27/2019), and the plan is to be effectively realised now. This also means the regional lines in Upper Austria are no longer in danger of being closed. They had hardly generated any profit in the past, which is why even a privatisation of the network had been considered.
Source: LOK-Report 02.10.2019

Australia / NSW orders hybrid trains from Momentum Trains consortium

The government of the Australian federal state of New South Wales (NSW) has awarded Momentum Trains, a consortium consisting of CAF, UGL Rail Services, Pacific Partnerships, CAF Investment Projects and DIF Infrastructure V Coöperatief, a contract to replace its ageing rolling stock fleet (see SCI RAILDATA Issue 07/2019). The new fleet includes a total of 117 cars forming ten regional intercity trains, nine short regional trains and ten long regional trains. The first new trains are expected to be running from 2023, with the full fleet coming into service progressively. They will operate in bi-mode configuration with both electric and diesel drive instead of just diesel propulsion, providing a more environmentally-friendly rail service. NSW will also build a new train maintenance facility in Dubbo, with construction starting in 2020 (see SCI RAILDATA Issue 07/2019).
Source: NSW press release 26.09.2019

Russia / GTLK orders 25,000 freight wagons from UWC

The state-owned Russian leasing company GTLK has ordered 25,000 innovative freight wagons with an axle load of 25 t from Russian freight wagon manufacturer United Wagon Company (UWC). UWC is expected to deliver 20,000 open freight wagons with hatches by 2022, and 5,000 self-unloading freight wagons for grain transport to GTLK by 2020. The innovative freight wagons enable savings in operating costs and additional revenue from the transport of additional freight volumes. GTLK has recently started a leasing programme for innovative freight wagons of various types. Two types of leasing are offered: on the one hand, the vehicles can be handed over to customers for a period of up to 15 years under finance leases and from one year onwards under operating leasing contracts. The freight wagons have an axle load of 25 t and have improved technical and economic performance compared to standard models with an axle load of 23.5 t. According to UWC, they also have maintenance intervals of 1 million km or eight years.
Source: RZD-Partner 27.09.2019

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Strategic Management Consultancy Examples

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In the context of a refinance, SCI Verkehr assesses the market value of a large European rolling stock portfolio. Assessment is conducted by means of

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Portfolio assessment for refinancing

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In the context of a refinance, SCI Verkehr assesses the market value of a large European rolling stock portfolio. Assessment is conducted by means of the income-based DCF method and comprises detailed descriptions of the portfolio’s competitive position and of the supply and demand side.

Condition surveillance systems for rail vehicles

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Condition surveillance systems for rail vehicles

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Analysis of Chinese component providers for rail vehicles

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Analysis of Chinese component providers for rail vehicles

Customer: Component provider

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Market Analyses Examples

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Customer satisfaction analysis

Customer: Manufacturer of rail vehicles

Within a commercial due diligence, SCI Verkehr analysed the market perspectives of the target in the light rail segment. In addition to identifiying and appraising future projects in the target market, an interview-based analysis of customer satisfaction was carried out.

Forecast data on rolling stock deliveries for strategic planning

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Forecast data on rolling stock deliveries for strategic planning

Customer: International industrial group

For the strategic planning by an industrial group, SCI Verkehr analysed the delivery figures of rolling stock, differentiated by vehicle types and regions.

Concept for a trimodal site

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Concept for a trimodal site

Customer: Regional authority in Northern Germany

The region represented by the client is a focus of investments for logistics investments in Germany. In order to prepare for further investments while at the same time develop these in an orderly manner, three main sites were defined. Thanks to its advantageous location, one of the main sites provides the possibility of a trimodal transhipment hub, featuring a combination of road/rail/inland waterway options. To secure these possibilities for the trimodal orientation of the new site, an economic feasibility study was compiled on further site development including a concept for implementation. Both, planning and demand-related (market-related) conditions had to be taken into consideration.

Asset Valuation Examples

Assessment of modern steel transport wagons in continental Europe

On behalf of a European leasing company, SCI Verkehr assesses a fleet of modernised steel transport wagons. Assessment of the wagons by means of the

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Assessment of modern steel transport wagons in continental Europe

Customer: European leasing company

On behalf of a European leasing company, SCI Verkehr assesses a fleet of modernised steel transport wagons. Assessment of the wagons by means of the DCF and DRC methods takes into consideration the wagon-specific supply-and-demand situation.

Value appraisal special bulk freight wagons

On behalf of a European financial institution, SCI Verkehr compiled a value appraisal for special bulk freight wagons. For this purpose, SCI made use

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Value appraisal special bulk freight wagons

Customer: European financial service provider

On behalf of a European financial institution, SCI Verkehr compiled a value appraisal for special bulk freight wagons. For this purpose, SCI made use of the proven SCI Asset Value Tool which considers the technical features of the vehicle type as well as the influencing factors of the market.

Market analysis of the European railway market

In order to develop a strategy process for an international financing company, SCI Verkehr analysed the present and future of the European railway

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Market analysis of the European railway market

Customer: International financing company

In order to develop a strategy process for an international financing company, SCI Verkehr analysed the present and future of the European railway market. This extensive study focused on identifying demand potential for vehicle financing and rolling stock leasing in rail passenger and freight transport in the leading European markets. The report additionally includes up-to-date market information about transport markets, important transport and leasing companies and the vehicle industry.

Public Consulting Examples

Support in restructuring process in rail freight transport

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Support in restructuring process in rail freight transport

Customer: International leading company in rail freight transport

SCI Verkehr supported a leading European rail freight transport company in central restructuring processes. For this purpose, SCI Verkehr developed own and analysed existing market expectations. At the same time, benchmarks regarding the entrepreneurial organisation of production and sales units were been developed. SCI Verkehr prepared, accompanied and evaluated the processes for implementing the restructuring.

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Profitability Analysis Examples

Increase in profitability of an industrial and port railway

Analysis of existing and potential operations in regional passenger and cargo transport. Development and preparation of a business concept for an

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Increase in profitability of an industrial and port railway

Customer: Schwerin Public Works

Analysis of existing and potential operations in regional passenger and cargo transport. Development and preparation of a business concept for an economically viable NE-Railway.

Analysis freight wagon bogies

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Analysis freight wagon bogies

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On behalf of an Asian freight wagon manufacturer, SCI Verkehr analysed the market for freight wagon bogies in Europe. The analysis was focused on bogies for high-speed trains for operational speeds of 160 km/h.

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Process optimization Examples

Commuter Rail Berlin

Comparison of specific cost types to those of other commuter rail systems in Germany by means of defined, meaningful benchmarks. Identification of

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Commuter Rail Berlin

Customer: State of Berlin

Comparison of specific cost types to those of other commuter rail systems in Germany by means of defined, meaningful benchmarks. Identification of cost reduction potentials, possible ways ans implications of their realisation. Support to the client in the design of the transport service contract. Coordination of a joint negotiation strategy and participation in the trials. Survey of arguments and recommendations to the client.

Assistance in realising a pilot project in the field of electronic ticketing

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Assistance in realising a pilot project in the field of electronic ticketing

Customer: Midsized railway technology company

Our client had developed an innovative system for electronic fare management, which it wished to have tested in practice. In addition, the acceptance of the company was necessary as well as funding. SCI Verkehr took part in the project and assisted the client in quickly satisfying the necessary requirements for using the system in commercial operation.

Process improvements in production

A midsized company in the food industry had to generate significant savings in the production processes in order to remain competitive in the market.

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Process improvements in production

Customer: Midsized producer in the food industry

A midsized company in the food industry had to generate significant savings in the production processes in order to remain competitive in the market. SCI Verkehr identified saving potential in production and hosted the subsequent dialogue between the works council and management.